Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.001550 1.129916 1.270176 1.435087 1.624025 1.834134 2.086051
2025-01-05 0.787743 0.956688 1.156892 1.412791 1.732829 2.121985 2.634256
2025-01-12 0.674545 0.859655 1.091050 1.403778 1.818779 2.355303 3.109076
2025-01-19 0.573754 0.759373 1.001382 1.343302 1.819197 2.465853 3.424303
2025-01-26 0.524929 0.718519 0.980597 1.365986 1.926131 2.722809 3.963629
2025-02-02 0.486636 0.686299 0.965812 1.391879 2.035902 2.990812 4.547534
2025-02-09 0.450283 0.652166 0.943392 1.401912 2.120069 3.226165 5.106811
2025-02-16 0.418361 0.620819 0.920997 1.407898 2.196020 3.453670 5.678202
2025-02-23 0.395596 0.600703 0.912842 1.433771 2.304094 3.741397 6.383636
2025-03-02 0.361876 0.560468 0.869556 1.398267 2.306269 3.851524 6.790451
2025-03-09 0.345468 0.546044 0.865532 1.426178 2.417060 4.157263 7.587797
2025-03-16 0.322466 0.518916 0.838311 1.411669 2.451344 4.329589 8.154297
2025-03-23 0.306351 0.502316 0.827834 1.426325 2.541404 4.617325 8.993839
2025-03-30 0.285807 0.476660 0.799927 1.407382 2.567645 4.788320 9.623121
2025-04-06 0.268894 0.455875 0.778618 1.398089 2.610375 4.994536 10.352932
2025-04-13 0.245787 0.422487 0.732370 1.337914 2.547610 4.982437 10.605906
2025-04-20 0.236853 0.413741 0.729779 1.360494 2.651470 5.322226 11.694297
2025-04-27 0.229012 0.406355 0.728993 1.386272 2.764105 5.692814 12.909395
2025-05-04 0.219668 0.395475 0.720751 1.396260 2.844336 6.001892 14.023878
2025-05-11 0.210514 0.384288 0.711028 1.402219 2.916221 6.300155 15.157249
2025-05-18 0.204322 0.378315 0.710911 1.427977 3.034029 6.716923 16.660833
2025-05-25 0.191718 0.359033 0.683129 1.392631 3.010597 6.798797 17.289703
2025-06-01 0.186763 0.354498 0.684564 1.420418 3.134989 7.250945 19.003995